Frequency analysis showed that, rune frequency is random and unpredictable ,well average frequency of all pages show that, minimum frequency on unsolved pages is (1%) and maximum (3%) but, on individual pages maximum can reach more than 6%.
F | U | TH | O | R | C/K | G | W | H | N | I | J | EO | P | X | (S/Z) | T | B | E | M | L | (NG/ING) | OE | D | A | AE | Y | (IA/IO) | EA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
avg0 | 4.61% | 2.99% | 4.1% | 2.74% | 3.04% | 3.88% | 3.93% | 3.12% | 4.34% | 3.89% | 3.37% | 3.37% | 2.37% | 3.72% | 3.73% | 3.05% | 3.29% | 3.33% | 3.45% | 2.41% | 4.17% | 3.86% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.62% | 3.21% | 3.27% | 3.21% | 3.96% |
avg1 | 3.28% | 2.96% | 3.48% | 2.71% | 3.1% | 4.28% | 3.83% | 2.88% | 3.83% | 3.59% | 3.62% | 3.59% | 3.42% | 3.77% | 4.03% | 3.05% | 3.31% | 3.02% | 3.09% | 3% | 4.34% | 3.73% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.91% | 3.43% | 3.45% | 3.74% | 4.21% |
avg3 | 2.73% | 2.64% | 2.78% | 2.38% | 2.26% | 3.06% | 2.76% | 2.13% | 2.41% | 2.69% | 2.47% | 2.33% | 3.25% | 2.48% | 2.29% | 2.66% | 2.87% | 2.50% | 2.52% | 2.45% | 3.03% | 2.62% | 2.87% | 2.5% | 2.52% | 2.45% | 2.62% | 2.94% | 2.96% |
Interesting Patterns[]
there are many patterns that I noticed through pages if we compare them. lets compare page 0, page 1 and page 2...
this might be clue for shift, most frequent rune on page 0, is - 'ᛝ' or '(NG/ING)', most frequent rune on page 2, is -'ᛞ' or 'D', their frequency is very close (ᛝ-6.91%) and (ᛞ-7.01%), well this might be coincidence, but there are lot of other similar patterns that reduces chances of this being a coincidence...
F | U | TH | O | R | C/K | G | W | H | N | I | J | EO | P | X | (S/Z) | T | B | E | M | L | (NG/ING) | OE | D | A | AE | Y | (IA/IO) | EA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
page0 | 5.37% | 2.68% | 4.60% | 2.30% | 2.68% | 1.91% | 4.60% | 1.91% | 3.83% | 4.60% | 3.07% | 3.07% | 3.45% | 3.45% | 4.60% | 3.07% | 3.07% | 3.45% | 3.07% | 3.84% | 2.69% | 6.91% | 3.07% | 3.45% | 2.30% | 3.45% | 4.99% | 2.69% | 2.30% |
page1 | 4.94% | 2.28% | 4.18% | 3.43% | 3.43% | 5.71% | 4.19% | 3.43% | 2.66% | 3.05% | 3.05% | 3.05% | 1.14% | 4.19% | 4.57% | 4.57% | 2.28% | 1.52% | 2.28% | 1.90% | 5.33% | 2.66% | 5.33% | 3.04% | 3.04% | 4.19% | 3.80% | 3.42% | 4.56% |
page2 | 3.50% | 4% | 3.51% | 2.50% | 3.01% | 4.01% | 3.01% | 4.01% | 6.51% | 4.01% | 4.01% | 4.01% | 2.50% | 3.51% | 2% | 1.50% | 4.51% | 5.01% | 5.01% | 1.50% | 4.51% | 2% | 1.50% | 7.01% | 2.50% | 2% | 1% | 3.51% | 5.01% |
let's look at fig1, which is part of page 1(red) and 2(green) comparison, runes: page 1 - [(ᛇ-EO-1.14%) (ᛈ-P-4.19%) (ᛉ-X-4.57%)(ᛋ-S/Z-4.57%)(ᛏ-T-2.28%)] and page 2 - [(ᛋ-S/Z-1.50%)(ᛏ-T-4.51%)(ᛒ-B-5.01%)(ᛖ-E-5.01%)(ᛗ-M-1.50%)] pattern of graphs are very similar and frequency is also close.
fig 2 also similar patterns but there is no shift, runes: page 1 - [(ᚾ-N-3.05%)(ᛁ-I-3.05%)(ᛂ-J-3.05%)(ᛇ-EO-1.14%)] page 2 - [(ᚾ-N-4.01%)(ᛁ-I-4.01%)(ᛂ-J-4.01%)(ᛇ-EO-2.50%)]
fig 3 frequency is not so close, but shape of graphs is similar, runes: page 1 - [(ᚱ-R-3.43%)(ᚳ-C/K-5.71%)(ᚷ-G-4.19%), page 2 - [(ᚹ-W-3.43%)(ᚻ-H-6.51%)(ᚾ-N-4.01%)]
fig 4, this pattern is from page 3(blue) and page 5(red), runes: page 3 - [(ᛉ-X-2.79%)(ᛋ-S/Z-4.19%)(ᛏ-T-2.28%)(ᛒ-B-3.72%)(ᛖ-E-2.33%)], page 4 - [(ᛖ-E-2.71%)(ᛗ-M-4.64%)(ᛚ-L-4.64%)(ᛝ-NG/ING-4.25%)(ᛟ-OE-3.87%)
fig 5, runes: page 3 - [(ᚢ-U-1.40%)], page 4 - [(ᚩ-O-1.55%)]
similar patterns are found on all other pages (0-57)
Conclusion[]
so, if it's not a coincidence than probably, (page 0-2, page 3-7...etc) is same cipher/key but with different shift